Analisa Peramalan Permintaan Mobil Mitsubishi Xpander dengan Tiga Metode Forecasting

research
  • 15 Jul
  • 2020

Analisa Peramalan Permintaan Mobil Mitsubishi Xpander dengan Tiga Metode Forecasting

-In this study, the author discusses the analysis of Mitsubhisi Xpander's car demand forecasting. Forecasting is carried out using three methods namely the Moving Average method, Exponential Smoothing method and Trend Analysis method by comparing the average percentage of absolute error MAPE (Mean Absolute Persentage Error), then the chosen forecasting method is the Exponential Smoothing method, with an MAD value of 2203,865, MSE is 5987605, and the standard error is 2774.59. From the analysis of data processing that has been carried out based on the forecasting method chosen, forecasting sales of Mitsubhisi Xpander cars is 5,319,466 or 5,320 cars / month, meaning that PT.Mitsubhisi Motors Indonesia must provide 5,320 Mitsubhisi Xpander Cars each month to meet consumer demand 

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